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Red54
42518.5
415328.3
754028.3
Blue85
420639.6
561321.8
881612.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6970204060801005485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.8
28.326.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End9.2
blue by 11.2
39.61.0
40.141.1
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.9
Second
7540
#24
28.31.1
27.025.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End7.6
red by 6.5
5613
#30
21.81.6
18.820.4
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End6.6
Third
4251
#34
8.51.8
9.67.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 4.2
8816
#29
12.71.0
6.67.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned