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Red117
753414.2
300568.8
543128.9
Blue107
908022.8
541131.2
885831.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12167204080100140160180117107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.80.7
63.364.0
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End9.0
red by 37.2
8858
#10
31.52.2
26.728.9
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End8.2
Second
5431
#15
28.90.7
25.626.3
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End5.6
blue by 2.3
5411
#22
31.23.6
23.827.4
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End7.2
Third
7534
#13
14.21.1
17.818.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End5.6
blue by 8.7
9080
#19
22.83.6
18.922.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsEarned