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Red94
667260.7
750623.4
419227.1
Blue126
300568.8
874932.6
271441.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108140608010012016018020022094126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.71.1
54.753.6
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End7.6
blue by 8.1
68.80.1
64.063.9
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End9.0
Second
4192
#16
27.11.1
27.826.7
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.3
blue by 14.0
41.10.1
38.438.3
Auto12.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Third
23.41.1
22.921.8
Auto6.0
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 9.3
32.60.1
25.125.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned