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Red147
908831.4
667260.7
874932.6
Blue68
885831.5
753414.2
331050.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710340608014016018020014768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.72.6
54.757.2
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End7.6
red by 9.9
50.83.1
51.248.1
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End5.6
Second
32.62.6
27.429.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 1.1
8858
#10
31.52.4
31.328.9
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End8.2
Third
9088
#20
31.42.6
26.228.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.8
End6.0
red by 17.2
7534
#13
14.23.1
15.812.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned