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Red56
65269.4
912838.9
419227.1
Blue78
753520.3
541131.2
750623.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768140601001205678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#28
38.91.1
37.436.3
Auto7.7
Teleop26.1
End5.1
red by 7.7
5411
#22
31.20.2
30.931.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End7.2
Second
4192
#16
27.11.1
26.625.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.3
red by 3.7
23.40.2
23.223.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Third
6526
#32
9.41.1
7.96.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End3.8
blue by 10.9
7535
#12
20.30.2
21.621.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed