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Red101
910533.7
874932.6
543128.9
Blue63
42518.5
915629.4
697418.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10250015010163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#21
33.70.9
30.331.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
red by 4.3
9156
#23
29.40.6
28.128.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Second
32.60.8
30.731.5
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 14.4
6974
#25
18.30.7
17.618.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.4
End3.4
Third
5431
#15
28.90.8
28.028.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End5.6
red by 20.4
4251
#34
8.50.7
7.88.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed