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Red69
732118.9
541131.2
750326.3
Blue81
753520.3
543128.9
750623.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83770501001502006981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#22
31.20.2
31.431.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End7.2
red by 2.3
5431
#15
28.90.1
29.229.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End5.6
Second
7503
#14
26.30.2
26.526.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.7
End6.9
red by 2.9
23.40.1
23.823.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Third
7321
#11
18.90.2
19.118.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End3.6
blue by 1.3
7535
#12
20.30.1
20.420.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End2.8