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Red112
215842.7
731212.9
541441.6
Blue121
11862.8
258514.6
384750.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9614450200112121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.4
42.342.7
Auto10.2
Teleop22.7
End9.8
blue by 20.1
118
#1
62.80.3
63.162.8
Auto18.6
Teleop34.1
End9.8
Second
5414
#11
41.60.4
41.241.6
Auto9.1
Teleop27.2
End5.3
blue by 9.0
50.60.3
50.950.6
Auto11.5
Teleop31.0
End8.1
Third
7312
#27
12.90.4
12.512.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.5
End6.0
blue by 1.7
2585
#31
14.60.3
14.914.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End6.3