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Red68
62441.6
459725.3
433213.7
Blue118
258332.2
664526.7
817742.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7272405060809010011068118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
41.60.1
39.339.4
Auto11.2
Teleop22.7
End7.5
blue by 1.4
42.93.3
29.432.7
Auto10.9
Teleop23.0
End9.1
Second
4597
#15
25.30.1
15.815.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End7.2
blue by 6.8
2583
#13
32.23.7
23.827.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Third
4332
#26
13.70.1
11.311.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 13.0
6645
#20
26.73.3
15.318.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned