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Red68
881919.2
459725.3
526124.1
Blue64
258730.1
258332.2
507011.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5859203040507080901006864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4597
#15
25.30.5
18.318.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End7.2
blue by 6.8
2583
#13
32.20.4
28.328.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Second
24.10.8
19.019.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End6.8
blue by 6.0
30.10.4
15.816.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Third
8819
#25
19.20.5
18.819.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End5.1
red by 7.7
5070
#28
11.50.7
8.79.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed