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Red113
814413.0
62441.6
215842.7
Blue117
881919.2
589246.3
801936.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8699406080120140113117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.72.0
34.236.2
Auto10.2
Teleop22.7
End9.8
blue by 3.6
46.30.7
37.638.4
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End8.8
Second
624
#17
41.62.0
36.538.5
Auto11.2
Teleop22.7
End7.5
red by 4.6
36.90.7
34.034.7
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End7.0
Third
8144
#30
13.03.4
11.815.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.8
blue by 6.2
8819
#25
19.20.7
19.520.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned