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Red76
741821.3
801936.9
59868.8
Blue117
589246.3
258730.1
857630.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621015015076117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.8
34.735.6
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End7.0
blue by 9.4
46.31.5
38.439.8
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End8.8
Second
7418
#22
21.30.8
17.918.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End5.4
blue by 9.4
8576
#14
30.71.5
30.131.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Third
5986
#24
8.80.8
10.711.5
Auto1.3
Teleop3.5
End3.9
blue by 21.3
30.11.5
21.623.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned