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Red122
664526.7
881919.2
147750.2
Blue128
11862.8
459725.3
91371.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9691050150200122128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#10
50.22.2
49.952.1
Auto13.9
Teleop29.7
End6.3
blue by 12.7
118
#1
62.82.2
59.561.6
Auto18.6
Teleop34.1
End9.8
Second
6645
#20
26.72.2
19.121.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.5
End6.1
red by 1.4
4597
#15
25.32.2
21.223.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End7.2
Third
8819
#25
19.22.2
20.322.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End5.1
red by 18.1
9137
#32
1.13.4
5.08.3
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned