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Red130
769122.8
589246.3
664526.7
Blue29
91371.1
147750.2
258514.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8979406010012014013029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.32.5
42.144.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End8.8
blue by 3.9
1477
#10
50.23.1
52.149.0
Auto13.9
Teleop29.7
End6.3
Second
6645
#20
26.72.5
21.323.8
Auto7.2
Teleop13.5
End6.1
red by 12.2
2585
#31
14.63.1
15.312.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End6.3
Third
7691
#16
22.83.3
19.122.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End7.9
red by 21.6
9137
#32
1.14.5
8.33.8
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed