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Red19
881919.2
91371.1
507011.5
Blue106
882719.6
62441.6
857630.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3110302040608012014016019106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8819
#25
19.21.3
21.320.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.3
End5.1
blue by 22.3
624
#17
41.61.3
39.540.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.7
End7.5
Second
5070
#28
11.51.5
12.611.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 19.2
8576
#14
30.71.3
29.831.0
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Third
9137
#32
1.11.7
3.82.2
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 18.5
8827
#23
19.61.3
17.819.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsMissed