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Red107
215842.7
731212.9
541441.6
Blue100
817742.9
62441.6
459725.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101120406080140160180107100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.1
42.742.8
Auto10.2
Teleop22.7
End9.8
blue by 0.3
42.90.4
42.942.5
Auto10.9
Teleop23.0
End9.1
Second
5414
#11
41.60.1
41.541.6
Auto9.1
Teleop27.2
End5.3
Level
624
#17
41.60.4
41.641.1
Auto11.2
Teleop22.7
End7.5
Third
7312
#27
12.90.1
12.913.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.5
End6.0
blue by 12.4
4597
#15
25.30.4
25.324.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End7.2