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Red105
215842.7
433213.7
541441.6
Blue83
851523.3
258730.1
769122.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109725010015010583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.1
42.442.4
Auto10.2
Teleop22.7
End9.8
red by 12.6
30.10.1
28.828.9
Auto9.0
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Second
5414
#11
41.60.1
41.241.3
Auto9.1
Teleop27.2
End5.3
red by 18.2
8515
#21
23.30.1
22.122.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Third
4332
#26
13.70.1
13.613.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 9.1
7691
#16
22.80.1
21.521.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End7.9