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Red150
419219.7
910537.3
541152.1
Blue132
680036.8
288147.0
461025.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181116080100140160150132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.11.0
51.152.1
Auto11.8
Teleop30.0
End9.8
red by 5.1
47.00.5
46.547.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.9
End9.3
Second
9105
#17
37.31.0
36.337.3
Auto12.7
Teleop19.5
End4.7
red by 0.5
6800
#12
36.80.5
36.336.8
Auto8.6
Teleop21.0
End7.5
Third
4192
#18
19.71.0
18.719.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
blue by 5.9
4610
#26
25.60.5
25.125.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End5.9