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Red128
637744.6
129633.3
557229.1
Blue123
271449.1
6377B20.6
680036.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011195100105115120125128123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.61.7
44.346.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.1
blue by 4.5
49.11.3
47.248.5
Auto14.4
Teleop26.3
End7.8
Second
1296
#13
33.31.7
30.532.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End7.2
blue by 3.5
6800
#12
36.81.3
30.932.2
Auto8.6
Teleop21.0
End7.5
Third
5572
#16
29.11.7
28.129.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End6.2
red by 8.5
20.62.2
25.027.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned