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Red103
557229.1
541152.1
5431B15.7
Blue107
887414.4
541436.6
636939.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96958590100105103107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.6
46.747.3
Auto11.8
Teleop30.0
End9.8
red by 12.3
39.80.9
37.938.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End9.2
Second
5572
#16
29.10.6
27.528.1
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End6.2
blue by 7.5
36.60.9
35.936.8
Auto11.1
Teleop19.7
End5.9
Third
15.71.0
14.715.7
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End4.0
red by 1.2
8874
#15
14.40.9
15.015.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned