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Red123
284838.6
331051.0
129633.3
Blue67
637744.6
887919.2
521213.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407905010020025012367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.9
52.851.9
Auto11.9
Teleop30.5
End8.0
red by 6.4
44.60.9
46.345.4
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.1
Second
2848
#10
38.60.9
38.537.6
Auto13.3
Teleop20.6
End4.6
red by 19.5
8879
#20
19.20.9
19.018.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Third
1296
#13
33.30.9
33.232.3
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End7.2
red by 19.3
5212
#21
13.90.9
14.813.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed