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Red130
461025.6
288147.0
680036.8
Blue144
541152.1
910537.3
419219.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071096080100120140160130144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.6
44.244.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.9
End9.3
blue by 5.1
52.11.0
49.050.0
Auto11.8
Teleop30.0
End9.8
Second
6800
#12
36.80.6
33.934.6
Auto8.6
Teleop21.0
End7.5
blue by 0.5
9105
#17
37.31.0
34.235.2
Auto12.7
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Third
4610
#26
25.60.6
22.823.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 5.9
4192
#18
19.71.0
16.617.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2