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Red109
557229.1
129633.3
999127.1
Blue104
284838.6
636939.8
887919.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92105050150200250300109104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
33.30.5
32.533.0
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End7.2
blue by 6.6
39.80.2
39.739.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End9.2
Second
5572
#16
29.10.5
28.328.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End6.2
blue by 9.5
2848
#10
38.60.2
38.538.6
Auto13.3
Teleop20.6
End4.6
Third
27.10.8
25.726.5
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End5.6
red by 7.9
8879
#20
19.20.2
19.019.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3