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Red119
258326.7
288158.1
999432.8
Blue152
458727.2
900136.0
300570.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106136050150200250119152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.8
53.654.4
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.3
blue by 12.8
3005
#11
70.91.8
71.172.8
Auto17.2
Teleop47.3
End4.7
Second
9994
#27
32.81.3
25.526.8
Auto10.6
Teleop14.9
End7.4
blue by 3.2
36.02.0
28.130.0
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End7.2
Third
2583
#35
26.70.8
28.729.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.6
blue by 0.6
4587
#19
27.21.8
26.428.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed66%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned