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Red125
589236.4
463929.9
62466.7
Blue89
769123.6
258245.2
258734.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13810805015020012589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
66.70.1
61.561.4
Auto14.4
Teleop40.6
End10.6
red by 21.5
2582
#23
45.21.3
48.246.9
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End9.9
Second
5892
#18
36.40.1
40.940.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1
red by 1.7
2587
#12
34.71.3
31.330.0
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End7.0
Third
29.90.1
23.723.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End7.1
red by 6.3
7691
#31
23.61.3
24.322.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed