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Red109
680045.8
900136.0
258245.2
Blue131
851531.8
348121.1
542743.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15082050100200109131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#28
45.81.5
52.450.9
Auto9.1
Teleop30.4
End6.6
red by 2.7
43.01.8
41.343.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End9.5
Second
2582
#23
45.21.5
47.746.2
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End9.9
red by 13.4
31.81.8
22.424.2
Auto10.9
Teleop14.9
End6.2
Third
36.01.5
31.429.9
Auto11.2
Teleop18.0
End7.2
red by 15.0
3481
#26
21.11.8
20.222.1
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned