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Red113
300570.9
582926.5
541454.0
Blue116
463929.9
769123.6
384748.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17389050150200250113116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#11
70.92.6
75.172.5
Auto17.2
Teleop47.3
End4.7
red by 22.9
3847
#25
48.11.5
45.547.0
Auto13.8
Teleop25.5
End8.1
Second
54.02.6
50.047.3
Auto12.1
Teleop33.7
End8.0
red by 24.0
29.91.5
24.826.2
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End7.1
Third
5829
#32
26.52.6
27.625.0
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End4.6
red by 2.9
7691
#31
23.61.5
23.424.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned