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Red105
875013.8
999232.8
999528.0
Blue95
857634.3
258326.7
582926.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52104015020025010595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9992
#10
32.84.7
27.632.4
Auto12.2
Teleop13.1
End8.0
blue by 1.5
8576
#20
34.30.3
35.535.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End6.4
Second
9995
#16
28.04.7
23.027.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
red by 1.4
2583
#35
26.70.3
29.429.8
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.6
Third
8750
#34
13.82.8
11.814.7
Auto8.9
Teleop3.0
End2.1
blue by 12.7
5829
#32
26.50.3
25.025.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned