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Red113
258734.7
433643.6
851531.8
Blue112
147750.4
999812.3
541733.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11490050100150113112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#30
43.60.3
48.849.1
Auto12.2
Teleop24.5
End6.0
blue by 6.8
1477
#15
50.41.5
47.148.6
Auto13.9
Teleop30.2
End5.4
Second
2587
#12
34.70.3
30.530.8
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End7.0
red by 0.8
5417
#29
33.91.5
32.734.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End4.5
Third
31.80.3
24.224.5
Auto10.9
Teleop14.9
End6.2
red by 19.5
9998
#33
12.32.4
10.312.7
Auto6.4
Teleop0.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed