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Red113
918111.6
258734.7
384748.1
Blue73
875013.8
857634.3
348121.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027505015020011373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#25
48.11.1
47.748.8
Auto13.8
Teleop25.5
End8.1
red by 13.8
8576
#20
34.30.4
36.936.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.4
End6.4
Second
2587
#12
34.71.1
31.232.3
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End7.0
red by 13.6
3481
#26
21.10.4
21.020.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End7.1
Third
9181
#37
11.61.1
12.813.8
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End3.9
blue by 2.2
8750
#34
13.80.4
15.515.1
Auto8.9
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed