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Red103
258245.2
749225.7
589236.4
Blue136
458727.2
541454.0
384748.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115142050100200250103136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#23
45.21.6
47.445.8
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End9.9
blue by 8.8
54.00.5
52.653.1
Auto12.1
Teleop33.7
End8.0
Second
5892
#18
36.41.6
37.736.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1
blue by 11.6
3847
#25
48.10.5
48.849.2
Auto13.8
Teleop25.5
End8.1
Third
7492
#14
25.71.6
25.523.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End4.4
blue by 1.5
4587
#19
27.20.5
27.728.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned