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Red193
62466.7
45630.1
300570.9
Blue147
752234.2
463929.9
541454.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18011750100150200250193147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#11
70.90.7
69.770.4
Auto17.2
Teleop47.3
End4.7
red by 17.0
54.00.7
53.754.3
Auto12.1
Teleop33.7
End8.0
Second
624
#1
66.70.7
65.566.1
Auto14.4
Teleop40.6
End10.6
red by 32.5
7522
#22
34.20.7
33.934.5
Auto13.0
Teleop17.4
End3.9
Third
456
#21
30.10.7
28.929.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.6
End9.7
red by 0.2
29.90.7
29.630.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End7.1