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Red109
749227.2
384754.0
999919.4
Blue133
258741.8
541448.2
999723.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70112050100150200250109133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.01.6
45.647.1
Auto11.9
Teleop33.4
End8.5
red by 5.8
5414
#21
48.22.0
51.053.0
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
Second
7492
#31
27.21.6
24.726.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End5.2
blue by 14.7
41.82.0
33.435.5
Auto12.9
Teleop21.6
End7.4
Third
9999
#23
19.42.6
15.418.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
blue by 4.2
9997
#20
23.63.4
17.821.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed