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Red124
999723.6
268757.7
887927.9
Blue119
268929.2
463932.7
288153.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97132050150200124119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#12
57.71.6
56.758.3
Auto11.3
Teleop38.7
End7.2
red by 4.7
53.00.7
54.753.9
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
Second
8879
#25
27.91.6
21.623.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End6.3
blue by 4.7
4639
#11
32.70.7
32.631.9
Auto8.9
Teleop16.9
End7.2
Third
9997
#20
23.62.7
21.224.0
Auto10.3
Teleop9.7
End3.7
blue by 5.6
2689
#26
29.20.7
30.529.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed