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Red76
741821.0
589222.6
680039.4
Blue127
851533.9
32439.3
258741.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511905015020076127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#22
39.41.2
41.840.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.4
End7.9
blue by 2.4
41.81.1
35.336.4
Auto12.9
Teleop21.6
End7.4
Second
5892
#29
22.61.2
26.425.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End6.9
blue by 16.7
324
#24
39.31.1
40.441.5
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8
Third
7418
#10
21.01.2
20.319.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End7.4
blue by 13.0
8515
#18
33.91.1
30.531.5
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned