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Red154
463932.7
742136.9
384754.0
Blue69
999516.5
32439.3
541448.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011570809010011013014015015469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.02.3
48.150.4
Auto11.9
Teleop33.4
End8.5
red by 5.8
5414
#21
48.22.5
50.948.4
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
Second
7421
#30
36.92.3
34.536.9
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End4.1
blue by 2.4
324
#24
39.32.5
41.538.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8
Third
4639
#11
32.72.3
31.233.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.9
End7.2
red by 16.2
9995
#27
16.54.2
14.410.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed