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Red139
288153.0
542745.8
887927.9
Blue124
999617.2
857638.5
258741.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14085050100200250139124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.8
53.954.6
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
red by 11.2
41.82.6
38.641.2
Auto12.9
Teleop21.6
End7.4
Second
45.80.8
43.143.9
Auto10.7
Teleop24.9
End10.0
red by 7.3
8576
#13
38.52.6
35.538.0
Auto7.8
Teleop22.5
End8.4
Third
8879
#25
27.90.8
25.726.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End6.3
red by 10.8
9996
#34
17.24.3
11.615.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned