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Red87
817745.0
999815.2
32439.3
Blue98
999919.4
11865.5
999516.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106880501502002503008798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#33
45.01.5
45.043.5
Auto10.9
Teleop26.5
End6.6
blue by 20.5
118
#1
65.50.2
64.664.8
Auto15.8
Teleop38.3
End10.2
Second
324
#24
39.31.5
38.937.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8
red by 19.9
9999
#23
19.40.3
20.220.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
Third
9998
#32
15.22.6
16.113.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End3.4
blue by 1.3
9995
#27
16.50.3
10.210.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned