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Red114
772514.0
589222.6
32439.3
Blue151
999516.5
62468.7
542745.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69142050100200250114151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#24
39.31.0
37.438.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8
blue by 29.4
624
#3
68.71.5
64.766.2
Auto15.8
Teleop41.8
End9.8
Second
5892
#29
22.61.0
22.923.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End6.9
blue by 23.2
45.81.5
43.945.3
Auto10.7
Teleop24.9
End10.0
Third
7725
#28
14.01.0
13.614.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.6
End5.6
blue by 2.5
9995
#27
16.52.3
10.612.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned