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Red103
876919.2
851533.9
541448.2
Blue87
817745.0
288153.0
999617.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10514205020025010387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#21
48.20.0
54.054.0
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
blue by 4.8
53.03.5
58.054.5
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
Second
8515
#18
33.90.0
31.831.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End4.5
blue by 11.0
8177
#33
45.03.5
57.554.0
Auto10.9
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Third
8769
#17
19.20.0
16.616.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End5.3
red by 2.0
9996
#34
17.25.9
21.515.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed