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Red105
268757.7
741821.0
876919.2
Blue60
887927.9
589222.6
817745.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612805015020025030010560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#12
57.70.6
59.159.7
Auto11.3
Teleop38.7
End7.2
red by 12.8
8177
#33
45.03.6
54.050.4
Auto10.9
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Second
7418
#10
21.00.6
19.620.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End7.4
blue by 7.0
8879
#25
27.93.6
26.823.2
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End6.3
Third
8769
#17
19.20.6
16.717.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End5.3
blue by 3.4
5892
#29
22.63.6
32.829.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed