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Red135
582935.9
742136.9
542745.8
Blue130
680039.4
268929.2
147753.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812790100110120140150160135130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.3
46.246.6
Auto10.7
Teleop24.9
End10.0
blue by 8.1
53.80.2
53.753.8
Auto13.4
Teleop33.9
End6.1
Second
7421
#30
36.90.3
37.337.7
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End4.1
blue by 2.5
6800
#22
39.40.2
39.239.4
Auto8.4
Teleop23.4
End7.9
Third
35.90.3
36.436.7
Auto11.6
Teleop16.9
End7.5
red by 6.7
2689
#26
29.20.2
29.029.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.2
End5.7