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Red133
817745.0
857638.5
384754.0
Blue155
32439.3
288153.0
541448.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145144100110120130140150160170180133155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.0
52.452.4
Auto11.9
Teleop33.4
End8.5
red by 1.0
53.00.4
52.152.6
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
Second
8177
#33
45.00.0
43.343.3
Auto10.9
Teleop26.5
End6.6
blue by 3.2
5414
#21
48.20.4
47.347.7
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
Third
8576
#13
38.50.0
36.836.8
Auto7.8
Teleop22.5
End8.4
blue by 0.8
324
#24
39.30.4
38.438.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8