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Red71
582937.2
288143.3
811424.5
Blue106
268753.6
421926.0
125531.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918005015020025030071106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.8
32.932.1
Auto10.4
Teleop25.8
End7.2
blue by 10.3
53.61.7
31.633.3
Auto10.3
Teleop35.7
End7.7
Second
37.20.8
28.727.8
Auto13.4
Teleop16.5
End7.3
red by 5.5
1255
#13
31.71.7
23.124.8
Auto10.6
Teleop13.0
End8.1
Third
8114
#31
24.50.8
22.021.1
Auto10.2
Teleop8.4
End5.9
blue by 1.5
4219
#23
26.02.8
21.324.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsMissed