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Red81
258246.2
875021.3
61559.8
Blue61
354520.6
557234.9
836917.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68644060801008161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.8
41.542.3
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
red by 11.3
5572
#19
34.91.0
30.429.4
Auto13.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Second
8750
#20
21.30.8
12.112.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 0.6
3545
#27
20.61.0
16.715.7
Auto7.2
Teleop7.1
End6.3
Third
6155
#41
9.80.8
9.810.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 7.3
8369
#28
17.21.0
13.712.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed