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Red101
406337.2
356125.7
914034.5
Blue106
713815.8
258246.2
557234.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81974060120140160101106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.22.6
29.632.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End10.1
blue by 9.0
46.21.1
42.743.9
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
Second
9140
#25
34.51.5
28.129.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
blue by 0.4
5572
#19
34.91.1
31.332.4
Auto13.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
3561
#16
25.71.5
20.121.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End8.0
red by 9.9
7138
#33
15.81.1
15.016.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned