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Red31
348113.8
295013.0
461027.2
Blue23
265720.2
876916.6
801929.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5458203040507080903123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#21
27.21.5
25.824.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
blue by 2.1
8019
#17
29.33.7
21.317.6
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Second
3481
#15
13.82.6
21.518.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End6.0
blue by 6.4
2657
#39
20.23.7
18.114.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.5
Third
2950
#30
13.01.5
6.95.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.8
blue by 3.6
8769
#24
16.62.2
11.69.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed