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Red105
881824.9
421926.0
637748.5
Blue72
801929.3
713815.8
406337.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917720406010012014016010572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.1
40.141.2
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End7.4
red by 11.2
37.20.3
32.131.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End10.1
Second
4219
#23
26.01.8
23.725.5
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End5.6
blue by 3.3
8019
#17
29.30.3
26.125.8
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Third
8818
#14
24.91.8
19.721.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 9.1
7138
#33
15.80.2
16.116.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned