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Red100
129636.4
296917.2
801929.3
Blue57
881919.8
356125.7
461027.2
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766720406010012014010057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#12
36.41.0
28.229.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.1
End8.6
red by 9.2
4610
#21
27.20.5
26.826.3
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
Second
8019
#17
29.31.7
25.827.5
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5
red by 3.6
3561
#16
25.70.5
21.721.2
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End8.0
Third
2969
#35
17.21.7
16.017.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 2.5
8819
#26
19.80.8
15.915.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed