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Red104
125531.7
268935.6
762118.0
Blue49
348113.8
45715.7
876916.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8531020406010012014010449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2689
#11
35.61.3
34.335.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
red by 19.0
8769
#24
16.60.9
12.012.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.0
Second
1255
#13
31.71.3
25.827.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.0
End8.1
red by 15.9
457
#40
15.70.9
11.912.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End4.9
Third
7621
#18
18.01.3
12.914.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End5.5
red by 4.2
3481
#15
13.81.5
12.113.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed